Incorporating odds into Predictaball

I’ve tinkered around with Predictaball a bit recently in an effort to increase its accuracy, with the overall goal of beating Paul Merson and Lawro so that I can claim ‘human competitiveness’. I’ve mentioned in previous posts that I envisage 2 potential ways to achieve this. Include more player data Incorporate bookies odds Adding more player data (such as a variable for each player indicating whether they are in the squad or not) would allow the model to account for situations when a player who is strongly associated with the team winning is now injured - for an example see City’s abysmal record when Kompany isn’t playing.

Predictaball end of season review

It’s been a while since I’ve posted anything as I’ve spent my summer in a thesis related haze, which I’m starting to come out of now so expect more frequent updates - particularly as I work my way through the backlog of ideas I’ve been meaning to write about. I’ll start with assessing Predictaball’s performance last season. Just to summarise, this was a classification task attempting to predict the outcome (W/L/D) of every premier league match from the end of September onwards.

Predicting Football results with Evolutionary Algorithms

The majority of my work is involved with machine learning using biologically inspired techniques, focusing on classification problems. I run my algorithms on benchmark datasets to test their validity and the effect of various parameters, and then these are used in real life medical applications. Trials can take a long time to prepare, and the data collection process can be somewhat challenging. The group I’m involved with researchs Neurodegenerative Diseases, particularly Parkinson’s Disease.